UNDERSTANDING OUR REPORT
Simply put, we take the complex economic data and events that affect
mortgage rates on a daily basis and translate them into laymen's
terms. The end result is Daily Mortgage Commentary that allows your
average borrower or Realtor to understand how and why mortgage rates
changed that day. Keep in mind that the report is geared towards
mortgage pricing and not necessarily the stock markets or other
indexes. We address only data that is relevant to mortgage rates.
Wholesale mortgage lenders use Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS)
for setting mortgage rates, but they are complex instruments that
are not easily priced or available to you, your borrower or Realtor.
Therefore, we reference the 10-year Treasury Note as the benchmark
index in the reports so that our readers can easily follow movements
in the markets and rates. However, when we address that morning's
change in mortgage pricing, we use actual pricing from MBS's to
calculate the change in rates that we will mention. We will estimate
a range of that day's change in rates, but we do not publish actual
rates due to internal lender strategies and regional/state pricing.
The report is written from the borrower's point of view. If something
improves rates, mortgage rates for the borrower have moved lower
or cheaper. An increase in rates means that mortgage pricing has
moved higher or is now more costly to the borrower. If the data
was favorable to the bond market, it should be taken as good news
by the borrower.
We post our report at least six days a week (excluding holidays).
Monday through Friday morning gives you a brief snapshot of the
markets, an estimate of movement in that day's mortgage pricing
and what economic data or other events took place that morning that
were relevant to mortgage rates. We also give a short-term out look
of what to expect that afternoon and the next business day or two
so that you can make an educated decision towards locking or floating
an interest rate.
The last paragraph in the report is our Lock/Float recommendations.
It is optional for our Standard/Commercial clients, but is included
in the Personal subscription reports. The recommendations are broken
down into four different time periods. We believe that the recommendations
are consistently accurate, however, please keep in mind that they
are not guaranteed. They are made based on a scenario of our author
obtaining financing. In other words, what he would do if he needed
to make that decision for himself. An important NOTE: A lock recommendation
does not necessarily mean that he feels rates are going higher.
It likely means that he feels rates are not likely to move much
lower during that time frame, therefore, the risk of a higher rate
versus the reward of a lower rate does not justify floating any
longer.
The sixth day is our weekly preview of the upcoming week that is
posted Sunday evenings. This report breaks down the next five days
on a day-by-day basis of what economic data, Treasury auctions,
Fed speaking egagements and other events that are scheduled that
may influence mortgage rates.
The report also is updated during afternoon hours periodically.
We will update it intra-day if something drastic happens in rates,
but not just because the financial markets are moving. There are
occasions where the stock and bond markets do move significantly
without mortgage rates following suit. Since our report targets
residential mortgage rates, we will not do an afternoon revision
unless rates are affected. As an example, we consider the results
of the FOMC meetings to be important enough to post again.
As a Personal subscriber, we will email you our report following
every update. If you have opted for our Standard subscription, not
only will we email the report to you, but we will also send it to
your reader list and post it live on your web site (all appearing
to be from you).
Heard enough? Are you ready to Subscribe? Just choose the PERSONAL
SUBSCRIPTION for yourself or the STANDARD SUBSCRIPTION if you would
like to see the content appear on your site and emailed to your
readers on your behalf. Thinking larger scale? Use the ENTERPRISE
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